Аналитики предсказывают потенциальное изменение динамики биткоина на фоне недовольства с ФРС Translation: Analysts predict a potential shift in bitcoin dynamics amidst discontent with the Fed.

The cryptocurrency market responded to the escalation of tensions between the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Department of Justice. Analysts observed attempts by Bitcoin to stabilize above $92,000 and assessed the likelihood of a trend reversal.

Experts from QCP Capital noted the rally in gold and silver during the Asian trading session.

This movement coincided with comments made by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He revealed that the U.S. Department of Justice threatened to hold him criminally liable regarding his testimony before Congress in June 2025, describing the actions as political retribution for the Fed’s refusal to align interest rates with President Donald Trump’s agenda.

Investors perceived this as a threat to the independence of the central bank, prompting them to shift capital into alternative forms of saving. Initially, Bitcoin capitalized on this momentum, attempting to serve as a hedge against institutional threats.

However, the digital currency was unable to maintain its position above the $92,000 level and adjusted lower at the start of European trading.

“The failure to capitalize on bullish narratives highlights the structural hurdles Bitcoin faces since October 10. Optimism regarding a breakthrough in the first quarter is fading,” noted QCP.

Market specialists also observed profit-taking and a shift in expectations in the options market, indicating that investors are deferring bullish outlooks to a later date, reflecting skepticism about a rapid rally, analysts emphasized.

QCP warned of continuing volatility throughout the week, as markets await the release of U.S. inflation data on January 13. The following day, a decision by the U.S. Supreme Court regarding tariffs is anticipated.

CryptoQuant analyst CryptoMe pointed out the attempt of the STH-SOPR metric for short-term holders to establish itself above a crucial level, which may signal a transition from a bearish to a bullish trend.

The STH-SOPR measures the profitability of coins moved in the network over the past 155 days, with a value below 1 suggesting that speculators are selling at a loss.

According to the expert, since October 10, the metric has remained in negative territory. Historically, a level of 1 acts as significant resistance during downturns and support during uptrends.

“If we examine the chart closely, the level of 1 functions as a ceiling in bearish cycles: STH-SOPR cannot exceed it. During bullish periods, it serves as a floor. Exiting from below one is often regarded as a signal for a trend reversal,” explained the analyst.

This week, the metric attempted to break through this resistance from below for the first time in three months. However, CryptoMe emphasized that the signal has yet to be confirmed.

There is a risk of a “false breakout” if the metric cannot hold above the threshold level by the end of the day. The expert stated that the fact that this level has been tested after a prolonged stagnation offers hope for a market recovery.

Despite Bitcoin’s overall upward trend, retail investors continue to shed assets at a loss due to fears of volatility, as pointed out by another CryptoQuant expert using the pseudonym G a a h.

The analyst reported that between 2024 and 2025, the price of the first cryptocurrency was structurally rising, setting new local highs. However, speculative behavior contradicted this trend.

By the end of last year, market sentiments approached the “extreme fear” zone, with the SOPR dipping to 0.98. A similar level was observed in November 2022 when Bitcoin prices hovered around $16,000.

G a a h identified several key trends:

During such periods, unrealized losses become real, intensifying selling pressure.

The analyst concluded that historically, this divergence—price increases amid the capitulation of ‘weak hands’—created favorable market entry opportunities. The current situation confirms the structural strength of the trend, despite the panic among retail participants.

It is worth recalling that in December, an analyst known as Woominkyu predicted a potential shift of the first cryptocurrency into a bearish phase.