Биткоин в тени конфликта: как события вокруг Венесуэлы влияют на крипторынок Headline: Bitcoin in the Shadow of Conflict: How Events in Venezuela Impact the Crypto Market

The likelihood of a significant correction in the cryptocurrency market due to the conflict between the U.S. and Venezuela is quite low. This was stated by MN Trading founder Michaël van de Poppe.

«This is a planned and coordinated attack on [Venezuelan President] Nicolás Maduro, and it has been in the works for a long time,» the expert added.

According to van de Poppe’s prediction, Bitcoin is poised to surpass the $90,000 mark soon. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency is trading at around $91,500, having increased by 2% over the past day.

On January 3rd, the U.S. launched strikes against Venezuela. The attack lasted approximately 30 minutes, resulting in Maduro being captured and removed from the country.

Initially, Bitcoin’s reaction to the situation was a slight decline, but it later resumed its upward trend.

«Markets are typically influenced by uncertainty rather than events that have already occurred. In this case, it seems that much of this has already been factored into the price,» noted crypto analyst Shagun Makin.

He also emphasized that the ability of digital gold to remain stable amid «geopolitical noise» is likely to strengthen demand above $90,000 rather than undermine it.

«The situation might even result in some profits for the market as people view it as a sign of strength,» added analyst Tyler Hill.

Researchers at Lookonchain discovered suspicious activity on Polymarket. According to their data, just hours before Maduro’s arrest, three wallets placed bets on the Venezuelan president’s resignation.

Their total profit from these trades exceeded $630,000. One of the wallets invested $34,000 and ended up with $409,900.

«All three addresses only placed bets related to events in Venezuela and Maduro, with no history of other trades — a clear sign of insider trading,» Lookonchain stated.

Simultaneously, one trader on Polymarket under the pseudonym Sweetceecks reported making $80,000 in a single night betting on the ousting of the Venezuelan president.

He mentioned noticing an increase in the «Pizza Index» and placing his bet. This indicator reflects the number of orders from nearby Domino’s Pizza locations around the Pentagon and is considered an indirect sign of heightened U.S. military activity.

It should be noted that by the end of 2025, retail investors surpassed whales in Bitcoin accumulation rates.