Нобелевский лауреат предупреждает о кардинальных изменениях на рынке труда из-за ИИ к 2026 году Translation: Nobel laureate warns of radical changes in the job market due to AI by 2026.

In 2026, artificial intelligence will advance to a level capable of replacing a substantial number of jobs. This was stated in an interview with CNN by Nobel laureate and one of the architects of the technology, Geoffrey Hinton.

*“I believe we will witness AI becoming even more proficient. It is already remarkably good. We will see AI gain the ability to take over numerous, numerous professions,”* said the expert.

According to him, neural networks are already able to replace call centers. The pace of progress is accelerating: model performance doubles every seven months. In programming, AI accomplishes tasks in minutes that previously took hours.

In just a few years, AI will learn to independently handle complex software development projects that currently require months of work.

*“Ultimately, very few people will be needed for software engineering projects,”* Hinton predicted.

The Nobel laureate confessed that his anxiety has only grown since leaving Google in 2023. Hinton noted that the development of AI is outpacing expectations, particularly in its ability to construct reasoning and even mislead people to achieve goals.

While the scientist acknowledges the benefits of the technology for fields like medicine and climatology, he believes the world is not paying enough attention to risk mitigation.

The approach to cybersecurity varies from company to company, yet the overarching picture is shaped by economic calculations. Management must strike a balance between the potential benefits of the technology, security costs, and profits.

*“They might reason this way: the benefits of this technology are huge, while the risks are statistically small. Why forgo a breakthrough due to a few possible casualties? It’s the same logic as with* [*self-driving cars*](https://forklog.com/news/ai/biznes-robotaksi-priblizilsya-k-bezubytku): *they will have accidents, but the overall death toll is expected to be orders of magnitude lower than with human drivers,”* the specialist stated.

He linked the dangers to the structure of the modern economy, where it is financially advantageous to replace employees with algorithms. This, he believes, will make the wealthy richer while impoverishing the majority.

Andrew Ng, co-founder of Google Brain, referred to AI as a *“highly limited”* technology in a comment to NBC. He is confident that algorithms will not replace humans in the foreseeable future.

The expert stated that society struggles to maintain a balance between recognizing AI’s capabilities and understanding its real limitations.

Ng believes it is still a long way to achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) comparable to human intelligence. The main reason is the labor-intensive nature of data preparation and model training, which still requires a large amount of manual work.

*“When someone uses AI, and the system knows a certain language, the data preparation, AI training, and mastery of that one set take much more effort than is commonly perceived,”* he noted.

Ng also criticized some business leaders’ calls to refrain from learning to program due to automation, labeling it *“the worst career advice.”*

*“As programming becomes simpler—and it has been for decades, thanks to technological advancements—more people should engage in programming, not fewer,”* explained the specialist.

Within professional circles, there is already a strong belief that programming is at the heart of the AI revolution. Consequently, an increasing number of experts predict the disappearance of roles associated with routine coding.

*“Yes, I no longer write code manually—I delegate that to AI. But the paradox is that simplifying the process should not reduce but increase the number of people involved in programming. When the barriers to entry lower, the profession becomes more accessible,”* Ng stated.

He believes that proficiency in programming skills using AI will transform into a competitive advantage. Such specialists *“will not only be more efficient but will also derive more enjoyment from the process.”*

*“We stand on the brink of a major social shift, where the ability to ‘speak’ to machines through code will become the new digital literacy,”* said the expert.

Ng does not deny the associated risks of the technology—from ethical dilemmas to impacts on the job market. However, he is convinced that the potential benefits of implementing AI models far outweigh the possible harms.

It is worth noting that in November, researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology suggested that 11.7% of the workforce could be replaced by artificial intelligence.