Пользователи платформ предсказаний ставят на биткоин ниже $100 000 до конца года Translation: Users of prediction platforms bet on Bitcoin staying below $100,000 by the end of the year.

Many users on prediction platforms believe that the price of the leading cryptocurrency will end the year below the psychological barrier of $100,000.

As of December 12, the probability related to this forecast on Kalshi is only 42%:

Meanwhile, a similar figure on Polymarket stands at 39%.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $92,230, according to CoinGecko. The last time the price exceeded the «round figure» was on November 13.

Several factors are hindering the asset’s growth, including macroeconomic uncertainty and a slowdown in the accumulation of corporate reserves.

Data from Capriole Investments indicates a decline in the activity of «treasury» companies, which may signal a depletion of institutional demand.

Conversely, Polymarket users assess the likelihood of Strategy selling Bitcoin before the year’s end as extremely low — approximately 1%.

Last week, Michael Saylor’s company increased its reserves to 660,624 BTC, having bought an additional 10,624 BTC for around $962.7 million.

An analyst known as Daan Crypto Trades noted that prices are once again testing resistance near the year’s opening price.

In his view, a breakout and consolidation above $94,000 could pave the way to $108,000 — the projected target of the «Triangle» pattern.

However, the expert acknowledged that the price increase might be capped by a retest of the former support zone around $98,000, where a significant volume of liquidity is concentrated.

It’s worth noting that analysts from Coinbase Institutional have forecasted an increase in Bitcoin’s price in December, believing that the correction in November has laid the groundwork for a market recovery by the year’s end.