Оптимизм на фоне паники: когда страх розничных инвесторов становится причиной для покупки биткоина Translation: Optimism Amid Panic: When Retail Investors Fear Becomes a Reason to Buy Bitcoin

Fear and uncertainty among retail investors continue to serve as one of the most accurate indicators for accumulating the leading cryptocurrency. This information was shared by Brian Kyu, an analyst at Santiment.

According to him, «smart traders» have been actively purchasing digital gold and altcoins while retail investors were reacting «excessively sharply» to U.S. President Donald Trump’s plans to impose 100% tariffs on imports from China. Negative sentiments among this group of market participants reached a yearly peak.

*»The emotions of retail investors often signal that Bitcoin and altcoin prices are about to reverse,»* noted the expert.

Following the events of October 11, FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) drove retail investors out of the market. However, they quickly returned when U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessen stated that there had been a misunderstanding and tariffs «might not be imposed.»

A similar pattern was observed during the announcement of the first round of tariffs in April, the escalation of conflict in the Middle East in June, and the anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in August.

*»The crypto market is driven by sentiment—traders collectively decide which news should impact their confidence. There is already sufficient evidence that Trump’s tariff announcements instantaneously affect trend reversals with every development. Emotion-driven trading related to political news dominates short-term market behavior—more so than at any point in the history of cryptocurrencies,»* emphasized Kyu.

During the latest correction, major altcoins lost between 18% and 28% of their value in less than a day. Historical data shows that sharp declines often precede the most powerful rallies in the cycle, noted an analyst using the pseudonym Bull Theory.

The expert reminded everyone of the events of March 2020 and May 2021 when the market fell by 50-60%.

*»Each dip appeared to be the end of the cycle, and yet each was followed by the most significant rallies in history,»* highlighted Bull Theory.

Many also regarded the market crash in April 2025 as the beginning of a bear phase, but subsequently, Bitcoin and a host of other assets reached new historical highs.

Another analyst, known by the pseudonym Ash Crypto, agreed with this assessment. He highlighted that, following previous corrections, altcoins had appreciated by 25 to 100 times.

Market participant Merlijn The Trader pointed out the formation of a bullish MACD crossover on the monthly chart for Bitcoin and altcoins. This pattern was observed prior to the alt seasons of 2017 and 2021.

In the past 24 hours, some coins have shown signs of recovery. The price of Ethereum rose to $4000 after dropping below $3700, while BNB stabilized at around $1200, having previously fallen to $1090.

Additionally, a contributor to CryptoQuant known as EgyHash discovered bullish signals in the recent decline of Bitcoin.