Opinion: Ракетный старт новой платформы прогнозов с рекордным объемом торговли Headline: Opinion: The Rocketing Start of a New Prediction Platform with Record Trading Volume

The prediction platform Opinion achieved over $3.1 billion in trading volume during its first month of operation. This marks a record among platforms launched after April 2024, according to a report by Messari.

Opinion’s team launched the platform on October 24 on the BNB Chain. As of November 17, the average daily trading volume was $132.5 million. The open interest (OI) reached $60.9 million, placing it third in the industry behind Kalshi ($302.1 million) and Polymarket ($250.5 million).

From November 11 to 17, Opinion led the prediction markets in nominal volume, hitting $1.5 billion, which is 40.4% of the combined total for Opinion, Kalshi, and Polymarket ($3.7 billion).

“The platform has become the third prediction market, following Polymarket and Kalshi, which had been the leading ones since April 2024 when weekly volumes in this sector first surpassed $20 million,” the report states.

Between October 24 and November 17, Opinion processed an average of 25,300 transactions daily. The peak occurred on October 25 with 71,500 operations, while the lowest was 9,700 transactions on November 4. Daily activity gradually increased as new markets were launched.

During this period, the number of unique users exceeded 62,400, with a peak influx of new users reaching 17,600 in a single day on November 8.

According to data from Dune as of December 4, the total volume for Opinion surpassed $5.74 billion, and the open interest was $62 million. For comparison:

The Opinion team is developing a four-tier architecture:

Opinion AI automates the creation and resolution of markets. The system transforms simple requests into complete contracts detailing events, outcome options, expiration dates, and settlement criteria. A jury of several AI models—Claude, ChatGPT, and Grok—is used to verify the results, followed by confirmation from independent experts.

For objective data—macroeconomic statistics and cryptocurrency prices—the platform utilizes Chainlink oracles.

In March 2025, Opinion secured $5 million in a seed round led by YZi Labs (previously Binance Labs) and Animoca Ventures. The team plans to focus on macroeconomic data markets and attract institutional users.

The launch of Metapool and the Opinion Protocol is expected in 2026.

It’s worth noting that on November 25, Galaxy’s founder Mike Novogratz revealed plans to enter the prediction market.